In december, the united states national intelligence council nic published its guess. Daily collaboration among the 17 agencies in the ic gives u. Whether the data is collected from the global skies or on foreign ground, the ic brings it all together to report current world events and predict future adversary action. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. Alternative worlds a free report from the national intelligence council by karen newcombe there are many organizations out there producing great reports that are invaluable for those preparing to engage in a strategic planning or. Global trends 2030 alternative worlds gt2030 blog posts. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001. Jan 09, 20 obviously, nobody knows, but some things are more likely than others. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and. Whether the data is collected from the global skies or on foreign ground, the ic brings it all together to report current world events and.
Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to. The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think. Companies and governments have to make informed guesses, because some of their investments today will last longer than 20 years. Download defensio fidei nic n pdf ebook defensio fidei nic n defensio fidei nic n ebook author by george bull defensio. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030.
Alternative worlds, the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. Dec 07, 2014 this report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. Oct 30, 2019 the atlantic councils 2012 report envisioning 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues. The nic foresees a transformed world, in which no country whether the us, china, or any other large country will be a hegemonic power. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030. In all four of the alternative visions of the future, u. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. After 107 pages of snazzy infographics on globalized workflows, widespread aging, and the advantages and disadvantages of a multipolar global economy, the experts depict four possible futures using scenario narratives.
Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class. The two differ because randers believes in slower population and economic growth over the next several decades, significant disruption from increasing climate change, and an end to us supremacy. Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Dec 01, 2012 global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Dec, 2012 of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader. Alternative worlds, stated, the keystone of national power remains us economic strength and innovation.
Given the rapid pace of change as we enter a new decade, mintels 2030 global food and drink trends carefully consider the likely shifts in consumer needs, product innovation, corporate actions, and society over the next 10 years, offering optimistic, yet pragmatic actions intended to help businesses adapt to the transformations ahead. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligencecouncils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. The analytic arm of the office of the director of national. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Us strategy in a postwestern world, written as a companion piece with the us national intelligence councils global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. This report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. This important report, global trends 2030alternative worlds, released in 2012 by the u. Jan 11, 20 whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. Mathew burrows counselor and director, analysis and production staff, national intelligence council global trends 2030.
Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. The office of the director of national intelligence will host a press briefing to discuss the release of global trends 2030. Jan 07, 20 without completely disengaging, the us is no longer the global policeman. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. National intelligence council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades.
New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm view important in making portfolio allocation decisions. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001 defensio fidei nic n download defensio fidei nic n pdf ebook defensio fidei nic n defensio fidei nic n ebook author by george bull defensio. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. We know that global trends 2030 report to be published later this year, do you publish a summary before the whole report. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Global trends and challenges, term paper get sample. How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Global trends 2030 compared with the 2052 global forecast. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader.
This paper compares the forecasts presented in two recent publications, global trends 2030 and 2052 a global forecast for the next forty years. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for u.
Gov t report predicts cyborgs, rise of china for 2030. Without completely disengaging, the us is no longer the global policeman. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think the. Get your kindle here, or download a free kindle reading app. Global trends 2030 with america at the center forbes. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Jan 03, 20 global trends 2030 with america at the center. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to impact nations.
1180 1238 906 482 398 48 338 1327 1118 904 802 211 1176 1190 1371 1354 1103 349 621 1431 933 122 870 919 1433 1253 969 549 207 1414 883 518 824 1441 233 1211